DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fritz-Walter-Stadion
Koln logo

Kaiserslautern
3 - 2
FC Koln

Tachie (19'), Prince Redondo (47'), Ritter (65')
Elvedi (90+6'), Tomiak (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thielmann (71'), Uth (81')
Hubers (63'), Martel (69'), Paqarada (88')
Martel (79'), Kainz (84')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between Kaiserslautern and FC Koln.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kaiserslautern

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 3-3 Hamburger SV
Saturday, October 28 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 6-0 FC Koln
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
KaiserslauternDrawFC Koln
44.01% (-0.107 -0.11)23.43% (-0.023 -0.02)32.56% (0.132 0.13)
Both teams to score 62.46% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (0.169 0.17)39.12% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (0.178 0.18)61.44% (-0.176 -0.18)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (0.024999999999991 0.02)18.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88% (0.041000000000004 0.04)49.12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.15600000000001 0.16)23.69% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.22499999999999 0.22)57.81% (-0.225 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Kaiserslautern 44.01%
    FC Koln 32.56%
    Draw 23.43%
KaiserslauternDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.56%

How you voted: Kaiserslautern vs FC Koln

Kaiserslautern
39.1%
Draw
34.8%
FC Koln
26.1%
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