Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.