Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.