Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.