Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.