Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.