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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
Jun 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylul Stadyumu

Sivasspor
1 - 1
Kayserispor

Osmanpasa (10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Uzodimma (18')
Thiam (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kayserispor 0-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Sivasspor 1-1 Kayserispor

There has not actually been a draw between these two sides since February 2018, with the last nine league meetings producing a winner. However, with both teams only having pride to play for, we are not expecting a classic, and a tight contest could end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SivassporDrawKayserispor
63.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 20.41% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 15.63% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.079999999999998 0.08)43.61% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01% (0.079000000000001 0.08)66% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.06% (0.050999999999988 0.05)12.94% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.6% (0.1 0.1)39.4% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)40.73% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)77.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 63.94%
    Kayserispor 15.63%
    Draw 20.41%
SivassporDrawKayserispor
2-0 @ 11.01%
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.51% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 63.94%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.63%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Kayserispor

Sivasspor
79.2%
Draw
16.7%
Kayserispor
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 4pm
gameweek 19
Kayserispor
4-1
Sivasspor
Hosseini (23'), Kemen (31', 69'), Sazdagi (41')
Yalcin (52')
May 21, 2022 2pm
gameweek 38
Sivasspor
2-1
Kayserispor
Felix (21'), Atakan Kesgin (63')
Cardoso (56')
Dec 27, 2021 5pm
gameweek 19
Kayserispor
3-0
Sivasspor
Gavranovic (9', 17'), Thiam (23')
Campanharo (36'), Demirok (43'), Kemen (61')
Feb 21, 2021 1pm
gameweek 26
Sivasspor
2-0
Kayserispor
Yatabare (18'), Gradel (90+3' pen.)
Camara (8'), Ciftci (84'), Yildirim (87')

Kvrzic (12'), Muhar (45+1'), Campanharo (67'), Demirok (73'), Behich (84')
Oct 17, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Kayserispor
1-3
Sivasspor
Kanga (52')
Henrique (68'), Campanharo (71'), Lennon (90+6')
Sapunaru (75')
Erdal (28'), Yatabare (60'), Fajr (83')
Goiano (41'), Fajr (45+1'), Yesilyurt (56')
rhs 2.0
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1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce14102236132332
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor167542417726
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13SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
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15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
16KayserisporKayserispor153661527-1215
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
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19Adana Demirspor1402121034-242


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