Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu

Sivasspor
1 - 3
Fenerbahce

Caicedo (76')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Rossi (22'), Kadioglu (45+1', 45+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sivasspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-2 Sivasspor
Monday, April 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-3 Istanbulspor
Monday, April 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
SivassporDrawFenerbahce
20.73% (0.035 0.04)21.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02)57.77% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.09% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)62.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)32.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)69.52% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)13.66% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.14% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)40.86% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 20.73%
    Fenerbahce 57.77%
    Draw 21.5%
SivassporDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.96%
0-2 @ 8.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.92% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 57.77%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Fenerbahce

Sivasspor
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Fenerbahce
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2022 5pm
gameweek 13
Fenerbahce
1-0
Sivasspor
Valencia (55' pen.)

Yesilyurt (19')
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
gameweek 23
Sivasspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Henrique (74')
Altinay (15'), Oguz (83')
Zajc (18')
Aziz (34'), Sangare (65'), Crespo (73')
Sep 12, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Fenerbahce
1-1
Sivasspor
Osayi-Samuel (23')
Bayindir (44'), Zajc (83')
Henrique (45' pen.)
Cofie (13'), Henrique (79'), Ciftci (90+3')
May 11, 2021 6.30pm
gameweek 41
Fenerbahce
1-2
Sivasspor
Cisse (90+2')
Gonul (90')
Kayode (45+1'), Arslan (48')
Ninga (37'), Ciftci (45+1'), Yalcin (59')
Jan 21, 2021 4pm
gameweek 20
Sivasspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Yatabare (18')
Appindangoye (45'), Yatabare (79')
Valencia (45+1' pen.)
Sangare (27')