Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gaziantep Stadyumu
Galatasaray

Gaziantep
0 - 3
Galatasaray


Ersoy (37'), Djilobodji (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Akturkoglu (5'), Icardi (64', 73' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Gaziantep and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Konyaspor 2-0 Gaziantep
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 2-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawGalatasaray
13.99% (0.035 0.04)18.46% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)67.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.23% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.94% (0.143 0.14)38.06% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.67% (0.153 0.15)60.33% (-0.156 -0.16)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (0.139 0.14)39.5% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (0.13 0.13)76.19% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.64% (0.034000000000006 0.03)10.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.16% (0.077000000000012 0.08)33.84% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 13.99%
    Galatasaray 67.54%
    Draw 18.46%
GaziantepDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 13.99%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.46%
0-2 @ 10.51% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 7.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.38% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 4.19% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.018 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.94% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 67.54%

How you voted: Gaziantep vs Galatasaray

Gaziantep
10.0%
Draw
5.0%
Galatasaray
85.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 4pm
Sep 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 5
Galatasaray
2-1
Gaziantep
Gomis (36'), Kitsiou (90+1' og.)
Sagal (27')
Mar 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 30
Gaziantep
3-1
Galatasaray
Djilobodji (45+4'), Maxim (71' pen.), Figueiredo (81')
Gomis (34')
Morutan (22'), Gomis (45+3'), Kilinc (66')
Oct 31, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 11
Galatasaray
2-0
Gaziantep
Morutan (45+3'), Akturkoglu (73')
Nelsson (76')

Maxim (26'), Ersoy (67'), Soyalp (79')
Jan 29, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 22
Gaziantep
1-2
Galatasaray
Maxim (90+7' pen.)
Djilobodji (86')
Onyekuru (51', 79')
Muslera (90+8')