Champions League

Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Aker Stadion

Molde
2 - 3
Galatasaray

(Galatasaray win 5-3 on aggregate)

Ellingsen (8'), Haugen (56')
Mannsverk (39'), Haugan (80'), Breivik (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Oliveira (25'), Icardi (29'), Midtsjo (90+3')
Angelino (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Molde and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Molde 0-0 Valerenga
Saturday, August 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Galatasaray

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Trabzonspor
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	Galatasaray
47.06% ( 0.03)	23.43% ( -0.01)	29.51% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.78% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.38% (

0.04)

40.62% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.99% (

0.04)

63% (

-0.03)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47% (

0.03)

17.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.95% (

0.04)

48.05% (

-0.04)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

0.01)

26.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57% (

0.01)

61.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Molde 47.06%

Galatasaray 29.51%

Draw 23.43%

Molde	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 47.06%	1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.51%