Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Molde had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.