Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.