Champions League
Aug 2, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Aker Stadion
  • Anders Hagelskjaer 64' yellowcard
  • Jesse Ost 74' goal
  • Ola Brynhildsen 89' goal
  • yellowcard Atomu Tanaka 26'

Molde vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 0 Molde

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 0 Molde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Molde in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Molde.

Result

Molde 64.39% (+1.43)
Draw 19.38% (-0.61)
HJK Helsinki 16.23% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.65% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.35% (+1.29)
Under 2.5 37.65% (-1.29)
Over 3.5 40.11% (+1.37)
Under 3.5 59.89% (-1.37)
Over 4.5 22.23% (+1.10)
Under 4.5 77.77% (-1.09)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5 88.96% (+0.77)
Under 0.5 11.04% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 64.63% (+1.65)
Under 1.5 35.37% (-1.65)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 63.68% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 36.32% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 26.9% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 73.1% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Molde 64.39%
Draw 19.38%
HJK Helsinki 16.23%
Molde
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.28)
3-1 @ 7.24% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 7.15% (+0.22)
4-1 @ 3.99% (+0.22)
4-0 @ 3.94% (+0.24)
3-2 @ 3.67% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 2.02% (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.76% (+0.15)
5-0 @ 1.74% (+0.16)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 64.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.38%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.19)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 16.23%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 25, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Topi Keskinen 25' goal
  • yellowcard Ola Brynhildsen 50'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Haugen 67'