Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.