Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KTP would win this match.