Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for KTP in this match.