Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for KTP had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest KTP win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.