Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.