Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.