Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Honka had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.