Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 11
Jun 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Tapiolan Urheilupuisto

Honka
2 - 1
Mariehamn

Koski (30'), Bauque (37')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sjoroos (2')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Honka and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honka

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Turku 2-0 Honka
Saturday, June 3 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Oulu 3-2 Mariehamn
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.

Result
HonkaDrawIFK Mariehamn
42.24% (4.017 4.02)26.06% (-1.032 -1.03)31.69% (-2.987 -2.99)
Both teams to score 53% (2.502 2.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (3.546 3.55)51.3% (-3.546 -3.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (3.014 3.01)73.13% (-3.015 -3.02)
Honka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (3.78 3.78)24.07% (-3.782 -3.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (5.105 5.11)58.35% (-5.106 -5.11)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (-0.19 -0.19)30.19% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (-0.229 -0.23)66.35% (0.229 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Honka 42.24%
    IFK Mariehamn 31.69%
    Draw 26.06%
HonkaDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.608 0.61)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.543 0.54)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.689 0.69)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.591 0.59)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.401 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.373 0.37)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.317 0.32)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-1.09 -1.09)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.338 0.34)
3-3 @ 1% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-1.356 -1.36)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.319 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.844 -0.84)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.69%

How you voted: Honka vs Mariehamn

Honka
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
IFK Mariehamn
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2022 1pm
gameweek 12
Honka
1-1
Mariehamn
Sadiku (2')
Voutilainen (45+3')
Owoeri (49')
Baliso (29'), Abubakari (39'), Tamminen (89')
Apr 18, 2022 4pm
gameweek 3
Mariehamn
1-1
Honka
Sid (18')
Owoeri (32'), Nissinen (66'), Abubakari (73'), Hambo (76')
Krebs (21')
Hernandez (78'), Tammilehto (82')
Oct 2, 2021 1pm
gameweek 1
Honka
1-1
Mariehamn
Sumusalo (81' og.)
Voutilainen (62'), Koski (84'), Levanen (85')
Mattsson (2')
Mattsson (36'), Tehe Olawale (50')
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 20
Mariehamn
1-3
Honka
Tehe Olawale (51')
Baliso (23'), Okoye (62'), Cledson (63')
Henrique (4'), Voutilainen (6'), Modesto (33')
May 3, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 5
Honka
0-2
Mariehamn

Arko-Mensah (39'), Kaufmann (63'), Tammilehto (71'), Modesto (71')
Tehe Olawale (45+1'), Mastokangas (65' pen.)
Paul Tendeng (74'), Mattsson (90+5')