Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.