Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.