Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 1-0 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	KuPS
27.38% ( 0.03)	29.12% ( 0)	43.49% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.29% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.11% (

0.01)

63.89% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.89% (

0.01)

83.11% (

-0.01)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.78% (

0.03)

40.21% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15% (

0.03)

76.84% (

-0.03)

KuPS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

-0.01)

29.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

-0.01)

65.22% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 27.38%

KuPS 43.49%

Draw 29.11%

Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	KuPS
1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 27.38%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.11%	0-1 @ 14.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 43.49%