Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.