Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Valerenga Fotball	Draw	Molde
29.79% ( -2.03)	23.61% ( -0.82)	46.6% ( 2.85)

Both teams to score 60.35% (

1.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

2.81)

41.27% (

-2.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

2.79)

63.67% (

-2.79)

Valerenga Fotball Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.56% (

0.09)

26.45% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.11)

61.62% (

-0.11)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

2.32)

17.96% (

-2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

3.84)

48.8% (

-3.84)

Score Analysis

Valerenga Fotball 29.8%

Molde 46.6%

Draw 23.6%

Valerenga Fotball	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.8%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.63) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 7% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.5) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.36) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.24) Other @ 3.72% Total : 46.6%