Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.