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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 13
Jul 9, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion

Tromso
0 - 0
Valerenga

FT

Riisnaes (48'), Zuta (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Valerenga Fotball, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lillestrom 0-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 1-2 Viking FK
Saturday, July 1 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Tromso IL 2-1 Valerenga Fotball

While Valerenga arguably deserve to be higher in the table than 13th position, losing seven times in 11 games suggests that confidence cannot be high. Meanwhile, Tromso have made a habit of racking up victories, sometimes by tight margins, and we feel that the home side will do enough to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawValerenga Fotball
25.03% (0.264 0.26) 24.53% (0.274 0.27) 50.44% (-0.537 -0.54)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.593 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (-0.914 -0.91)48.74% (0.915 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15% (-0.835 -0.84)70.85% (0.836 0.84)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (-0.27 -0.27)33.88% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (-0.293 -0.29)70.55% (0.295 0.3)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (-0.566 -0.57)19.34% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.89% (-0.939 -0.94)51.11% (0.94 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 25.03%
    Valerenga Fotball 50.43%
    Draw 24.53%
Tromso ILDrawValerenga Fotball
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.212 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.31% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.84% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.03%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.243 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 50.43%

How you voted: Tromso vs Valerenga

Tromso IL
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Valerenga Fotball
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 19
Valerenga
1-0
Tromso
Strandberg (81')
Layouni (35'), D (90')

Vesterlund (35'), Opsahl (50'), Antonsen (51'), Gundersen (59'), Helstrup (90')
May 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Tromso
1-0
Valerenga
Kitolano (67')
Nilsen (13'), Haugaard (90+3')
Nov 21, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 27
Valerenga
1-1
Tromso
Jensen (52')
Orn Arnarson (81')
Psyche (15'), Amundsen (66'), Gundersen (78')
Aug 15, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 15
Tromso
1-1
Valerenga
Ebiye (65')
Helstad Amundsen (55'), Mikkelsen (56'), Gundersen (90')
Bjordal (75')
Zuta (41'), Morfelt (90+3')
Nov 10, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 28
Tromso
0-0
Valerenga
Jenssen (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt65101321116
2SK BrannBrann7421115614
3MoldeMolde7412127513
4Fredrikstad632185311
5StromsgodsetStromsgodset631278-110
6Viking FKViking FK62318719
7KFUM OsloKFUM62316519
8KristiansundKristiansund62318809
9RosenborgRosenborg630378-19
10Odd7223912-38
11Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg62136607
12Lillestrom6213610-47
13FK HaugesundHaugesund620459-46
14SandefjordSandefjord511357-24
15HamKam703437-43
16Tromso ILTromso5005311-80


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