Lillestrom
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 12
Jul 2, 2023 at 4pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
0 - 1
Tromso

FT(HT: 0-0)
Traore (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Tromso IL, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Brann 2-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, June 11 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Tromso 2-1 Stabaek
Sunday, June 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
LillestromDrawTromso IL
52.27% (0.19 0.19)22.98% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)24.75% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.15% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)42.23% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.37% (-0.111 -0.11)64.63% (0.11399999999999 0.11)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.025999999999996 0.03)16.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (0.048000000000002 0.05)45.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)30.6% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.239 -0.24)66.84% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 52.27%
    Tromso IL 24.75%
    Draw 22.98%
LillestromDrawTromso IL
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 52.27%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Lillestrom vs Tromso

Lillestrom
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Tromso IL
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Lillestrom
1-1
Tromso
Christiansen (90+4')
Kitolano (36')
Kitolano (90+5')
May 29, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
Tromso
2-2
Lillestrom
Kitolano (42'), Ebiye (90+2')
Gundersen (9')
Matthew (60'), Dragsnes (72')
Christiansen (85'), Adams (90')
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lillestrom
1-2
Tromso
Lehne Olsen (90+1' pen.)
Ogbu (68')
Vesterlund (27'), Mikkelsen (62')
Psyche (71'), Vesterlund (77')
Jun 20, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Tromso
1-2
Lillestrom
Mikkelsen (26')
Lehne Olsen (2', 52')
Ranger (25')
Apr 17, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Lillestrom
P-P
Tromso