Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Brann Stadion
Lillestrom

Brann
2 - 2
Lillestrom

Heltne Nilsen (57' pen.), Castro (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edh (24'), Tonnessen (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between SK Brann and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SK Brann

All competitions
Last Game: Aalesund 1-3 Brann
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 Stabaek
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
SK BrannDrawLillestrom
60.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)20.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)19.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.74% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)36.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)58.79% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)11.84% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)37.1% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.23% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    SK Brann 60.25%
    Lillestrom 19.4%
    Draw 20.35%
SK BrannDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 60.25%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 19.4%

How you voted: Brann vs Lillestrom

SK Brann
95.0%
Draw
5.0%
Lillestrom
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 5pm
gameweek 18
Lillestrom
2-3
Brann
Garnas (59'), Lehne Olsen (71')
Garnas (39')
Taylor (17'), Finne (65'), Heggebo (74')
Pallesen Knudsen (34')
Jun 30, 2021 7pm
gameweek 8
Brann
1-1
Lillestrom
Bamba (58')
Lehne Olsen (87')
Ranger (68')
Sep 1, 2019 5pm
gameweek 20
Lillestrom
1-3
Brann
Rafn (22')
Maric (42'), Lehne Olsen (53'), Kind Mikalsen (73'), Smarason (87')
Tamm (13' og.), Yttergard Jenssen (34'), Rolantsson (51')
Kristiansen (88'), Wormgoor (94')
Jun 23, 2019 7pm
gameweek 12
Brann
1-0
Lillestrom
Koomson (73')

Pedersen (51')
Oct 7, 2018 7pm
gameweek 25
Brann
1-1
Lillestrom
Teniste (64')
Odemarksbakken (78')