Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.