Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stabaek Football would win this match.