Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
Aalesund	Draw	Tromso IL
20.41% ( -5.7)	25.07% ( -0.31)	54.51% ( 6.02)

Both teams to score 46.26% (

-5.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

-3.92)

55.31% (

3.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

-3.32)

76.53% (

3.32)

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.03% (

-7.57)

41.97% (

7.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59% (

-7.3)

78.41% (

7.3)

Tromso IL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

0.93)

20.28% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37% (

1.46)

52.63% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

Aalesund 20.41%

Tromso IL 54.51%

Draw 25.07%

Aalesund	Draw	Tromso IL
1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -1.32) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.95) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.81) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.6) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.55) Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.41%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 1.22) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.91) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 13.58% ( 2.27) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 2.06) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.76% ( 1.23) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.41) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.51%