Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion

Tromso
2 - 1
Stabaek

Paintsil (15'), Erlien (35' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hogh (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Stabaek Football, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aalesund 2-3 Tromso
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 2-2 Rosenborg
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tromso IL in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tromso IL.

Result
Tromso ILDrawStabaek Football
50.44% (-0.659 -0.66)24.1% (0.164 0.16)25.45% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 55.11% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)46.59% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.279 -0.28)68.86% (0.277 0.28)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.37 -0.37)18.5% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.626 -0.63)49.72% (0.625 0.63)
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.24499999999999 0.24)32.37% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (0.277 0.28)68.88% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 50.43%
    Stabaek Football 25.45%
    Draw 24.1%
Tromso ILDrawStabaek Football
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.45%

How you voted: Tromso vs Stabaek

Tromso IL
90.6%
Draw
6.3%
Stabaek Football
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 28
Tromso
0-0
Stabaek
Totland (76')
Mesik (67')
Jun 14, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 5
Stabaek
0-3
Tromso

Khoblenko (79')
Ebiye (9', 14'), Totland (90')
Apr 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
Stabaek
P-P
Tromso
Dec 1, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 30
Tromso
1-1
Stabaek
Espejord (47')
Smith (27')
Edvardsen (39')
Bohinen (36'), Askildsen (82')
Jun 17, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 11
Stabaek
0-1
Tromso

Aga (45')
Taylor (76' pen.)
Pirinen (38')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!