Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Molde had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Molde win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.