Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 77.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.