Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.