Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.