Champions League
Jul 12, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Bojan Radulovic 3' goal

HJK Helsinki vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Larne

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Larne had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for HJK Helsinki.

Result

HJK Helsinki 58.14% (+0.05)
Draw 22.54% (-0.04)
Larne 19.31% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.05% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.28% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 46.71% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 31.02% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 68.98% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 15.38% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 84.61% (-0.11)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 84.23% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 15.76% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 55.11% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 44.89% (-0.13)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 61.79% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.2% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 25.03% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.96% (-0.08)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 58.13%
Draw 22.53%
Larne 19.31%
HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.09% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.53%
Larne
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.15% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.31%