Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Larne had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for HJK Helsinki.