Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 11.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
73.22% ( 0)	15.02% ( 0.05)	11.76% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.58% (

-0.42)

26.42% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.25% (

-0.54)

46.75% (

0.54)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.75% (

-0.09)

6.24% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.44% (

-0.26)

23.56% (

0.26)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21% (

-0.39)

34.79% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48% (

-0.42)

71.52% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Molde 73.22%

Sarpsborg 08 11.76%

Draw 15.02%

Molde	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.97% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.19% Total : 73.22%	1-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.02%	1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 11.76%