Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	HamKam
69.93% ( 0.39)	17.1% ( -0.12)	12.97% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.1% (

-0.12)

33.89% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.25% (

-0.14)

55.75% (

0.13)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.31% (

0.05)

8.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.07% (

0.14)

29.92% (

-0.14)

HamKam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.75% (

-0.49)

38.24% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.99% (

-0.47)

75% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 69.93%

HamKam 12.97%

Draw 17.1%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	HamKam
2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 69.93%	1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.1%	1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.82% Total : 12.97%