Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.