Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 12
Jul 2, 2023 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
6 - 1
Sandefjord

Fardal Opseth (10', 20'), Torp (11'), Soltvedt (51'), Lundqvist (66'), Wichne (79')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Taaje (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Sandefjord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Rosenborg 0-3 Sarpsborg
Sunday, June 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Sandefjord

All competitions
Last Game: Haugesund 3-2 Sandefjord
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
66.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.09% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.18% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.33% (-0.152 -0.15)35.67% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.27% (-0.168 -0.17)57.73% (0.169 0.17)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)9.97% (0.0441 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)32.96% (0.102 0.1)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (-0.116 -0.12)36.48% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (-0.12 -0.12)73.27% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 66.42%
    Sandefjord 15.09%
    Draw 18.48%
Sarpsborg 08DrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 66.42%
1-1 @ 8.46% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.48%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 15.09%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs Sandefjord

Sarpsborg 08
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sandefjord
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 24
Sandefjord
1-1
Sarpsborg
Ofkir (44')
Engvall (78')
Jul 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Sarpsborg
4-3
Sandefjord
Maigaard (8', 19'), Saletros (54' pen.), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (70')
Vidtun Nilsen (39')
Ruud Tveter (22'), Vega (44'), Ofkir (73')
Ayer (77'), Smeulers (90+2')
Aug 29, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Sarpsborg
5-0
Sandefjord
Kone (15', 22', 28', 45+6'), M. Foss (76' og.)
Saletros (54')

Gudjonsson (62'), Moen Foss (63'), Erik Odegaard (70')
Jul 10, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 12
Sandefjord
2-0
Sarpsborg
Gudjonsson (32'), Normann Hansen (68')
Moen Foss (72'), Normann Hansen (75')

Palsson (44'), Jorgen Halvorsen (62')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Sandefjord
P-P
Sarpsborg