Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.