Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.