Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for HamKam in this match.

Result
HamKam	Draw	Aalesund
36.11% ( 0.02)	26.87% ( 0.01)	37.02% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18% (

-0.03)

53.82% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

-0.02)

75.29% (

0.02)

HamKam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

-0)

28.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

-0)

64.42% (

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-0.03)

28.07% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27% (

-0.03)

63.73% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

HamKam 36.1%

Aalesund 37.02%

Draw 26.86%

HamKam	Draw	Aalesund
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.1%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.02%