Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-0 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.