Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosenborg in this match.