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Luis Diaz
18'
-
Luis Diaz
45'
-
Mohamed Salah
49'
-
Trent Alexander-Arnold
45'+5'
-
Wataru Endo
66'
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Curtis Jones
74'
-
Cody Gakpo
78'
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Mohamed Salah
86'
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Bruno Guimaraes
28'
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Lewis Miley
45'+2'
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Alexander Isak
54'
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Joelinton
66'
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Sven Botman
81'
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Martin Dubravka
84'
-
Sean Longstaff
89'
Liverpool vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Flivsal.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F51%2Flivars_2.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F52%2Flivdaw.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F49%2Falexis-mac-allister.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fmohamed-salah.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result
Liverpool
66.99%
▲
(+0.81)
Draw
17.83%
▼
(-0.07)
Newcastle United
15.18%
▼
(-0.74)
Both Teams to Score:
60%
▼
(-1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.8%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 2.5
32.2%
▲
(+1.27)
Over 3.5
46.2%
▼
(-1.49)
Under 3.5
53.79%
▲
(+1.49)
Over 4.5
27.33%
▼
(-1.31)
Under 4.5
72.66%
▲
(+1.31)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
91.09%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
8.9%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
69.56%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 1.5
30.44%
▲
(+0.39)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
65.87%
▼
(-1.71)
Under 0.5
34.13%
▲
(+1.70)
Over 1.5
29.18%
▼
(-1.88)
Under 1.5
70.82%
▲
(+1.88)
Score analysis
Liverpool
66.99%
Draw
17.83%
Newcastle United
15.18%
Liverpool
2-1
@
9.56%
▲
(+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.48)
3-1 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.45)
3-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.33)
4-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.07)
5-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 5.12%
Total : 66.99%
2-0 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.48)
3-1 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.45)
3-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.33)
4-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.07)
5-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 5.12%
Total : 66.99%
Draw
1-1
@
7.9%
▲
(+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.83%
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.83%
Newcastle United
1-2
@
4.25%
▼
(-0.14)
0-1 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 15.18%
0-1 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 15.18%
Head to Head
Virgil van Dijk
28'
Form Data
Build-up
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F49%2Fjoel-matip_1.jpg)
News