Premier League Gameweek 18
Luton
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Newcastle
  • Andros Townsend 25' goal
  • Ross Barkley 56' yellowcard
  • Teden Mengi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Hall 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 90'+8'

Luton Town vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 10, 2023 2.00pm
Luton 1 - 2 Man City
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 0 Fulham
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result

Luton Town 29.53% ▲ (+0.82)
Draw 24.18% ▲ (+0.28)
Newcastle United 46.28% ▼ (-1.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.14% ▼ (-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.91% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 2.5 44.09% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 3.5 33.53% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 3.5 66.47% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 4.5 17.18% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 4.5 82.82% ▲ (+0.56)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.96% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 28.03% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 36.31% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 63.69% ▼ (-0.22)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 80.8% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 0.5 19.2% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 1.5 49.11% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 1.5 50.88% ▲ (+1.26)

Score analysis

Luton Town 29.53%
Draw 24.18%
Newcastle United 46.28%
Luton Town
2-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.14)
1-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 29.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.18%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.28%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Newcastle
Jan 6, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Luton
  • Ayoze Perez 30' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 36' goal
  • Jonjo Shelvey 39' goal
  • Paul Dummett 59' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 62' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 29'
  • goal Danny Hylton 49'

Form Data

Luton 1 - 2 Man City
Luton 3 - 4 Arsenal
Brentford 3 - 1 Luton
Luton 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Man Utd 1 - 0 Luton
Luton 1 - 1 Liverpool
Chelsea 1 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 3 - 0 Fulham
Newcastle 1 - 2 AC Milan
Spurs 4 - 1 Newcastle
Everton 3 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Man Utd

Build-up

News