Sunderland vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.