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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Coventry City |
| 41.44% ( | 24.57% ( | 33.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% ( | 44.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( | 66.44% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( | 21.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( | 54.27% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( | 25.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( | 59.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.98% |