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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Coventry City

Leeds
1 - 1
Coventry

Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
49.39% (-0.715 -0.71)23.21% (0.275 0.27)27.39% (0.441 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (-0.945 -0.95)41.01% (0.946 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (-0.97 -0.97)63.4% (0.971 0.97)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)16.79% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.102 -1.1)46.75% (1.103 1.1)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)27.95% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (-0.224 -0.22)63.58% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 49.39%
    Coventry City 27.39%
    Draw 23.21%
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.39%

How you voted: Leeds vs Coventry

Leeds United
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Coventry City
16.7%
36
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Coventry
2-3
Leeds
Turner (64'), Jutkiewicz (52')
Carsley (54')
Gradel (61' pen.), Howson (4'), Snodgrass (40')
Collins (45'), Faye (55'), Brown (72'), Becchio (86')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Coventry
Douglas (53'), Healy (15')
Nicholls (54'), Douglas (68')
Virgo (43')
Page (13'), Whing (27'), Kyle (65')